I will be first to admit that I was probably the vanguard in telling posters the stupidity of betting pre-season games, and I still stand by my reasons. However, there comes a point where things get silly. The posters in favour of betting will cite the rotations as the main factor that gives them an edge, I think most would concede the last two games as being wide of the mark.
Going into this game, San Diego have been made 3 pt favs on the same reasoning, QB rotation, Injuries and length of playing time for the starters. While perusing the posts on this game, it struck me how people can discard situations that they would never do in the regular season, basically having this perception that there is a certain critera for Pre-Season games that does not correspond to normal. This has to be wrong by any common sense approach, the mentality that one week was tearing its hair out whether Edge played to the lethargic so-what about LT is laughable.
The bottom line as far as I am concerned is San Diego without LT is a very ordinary Team, Pre or Reg games. Because of that and Green Bay's minimal interest in finding out how good their running game is, this game will be pass, pass pass. Debating who has the better secondary is redundant, all teams struggle nowadays with multiple WRs, its just Green Bay are better and deeper at the WRs position. The forecast rain can only retract from the Favorites cause, arguably making this a toss-up. The biggest thing I feel posters are missing is that Green Bay are at Home, the crowd will be huge, the adrenalin flowing and more reason the Packers have for winning.
As for the bet, +3 was enticing, but if I am right in my assumptions, then Green Bay will win outright, I dont see the point of them being competative otherwise. As this is on TV, I think its a certainty that when everyone comes out of the Pre-season stupor and see the rabid crowd, the line has to fall. Can you see this going PK.
Going into this game, San Diego have been made 3 pt favs on the same reasoning, QB rotation, Injuries and length of playing time for the starters. While perusing the posts on this game, it struck me how people can discard situations that they would never do in the regular season, basically having this perception that there is a certain critera for Pre-Season games that does not correspond to normal. This has to be wrong by any common sense approach, the mentality that one week was tearing its hair out whether Edge played to the lethargic so-what about LT is laughable.
The bottom line as far as I am concerned is San Diego without LT is a very ordinary Team, Pre or Reg games. Because of that and Green Bay's minimal interest in finding out how good their running game is, this game will be pass, pass pass. Debating who has the better secondary is redundant, all teams struggle nowadays with multiple WRs, its just Green Bay are better and deeper at the WRs position. The forecast rain can only retract from the Favorites cause, arguably making this a toss-up. The biggest thing I feel posters are missing is that Green Bay are at Home, the crowd will be huge, the adrenalin flowing and more reason the Packers have for winning.
As for the bet, +3 was enticing, but if I am right in my assumptions, then Green Bay will win outright, I dont see the point of them being competative otherwise. As this is on TV, I think its a certainty that when everyone comes out of the Pre-season stupor and see the rabid crowd, the line has to fall. Can you see this going PK.
